SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 58.29%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Estudiantes had a probability of 18.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.39%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.14%), while for a Estudiantes win it was 0-1 (6.46%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Velez Sarsfield would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Velez Sarsfield | Draw | Estudiantes |
58.29% ( -0.71) | 23.58% ( 0.29) | 18.13% ( 0.42) |
| Both teams to score 46.89% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.43% ( -0.52) | 52.57% ( 0.51) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.77% ( -0.44) | 74.23% ( 0.44) |
| Velez Sarsfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.21% ( -0.44) | 17.79% ( 0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.49% ( -0.77) | 48.51% ( 0.77) |
| Estudiantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.03% ( 0.2) | 42.97% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.73% ( 0.17) | 79.26% ( -0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Velez Sarsfield | Draw | Estudiantes |
| 1-0 @ 13.19% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 11.39% ( -0.1)2-1 @ 9.62% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 6.56% ( -0.15)3-1 @ 5.54% ( -0.1)4-0 @ 2.83% ( -0.11)4-1 @ 2.39% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 2.34% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 0.98% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.43% Total : 58.28% | 1-1 @ 11.14% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 7.64% ( 0.15)2-2 @ 4.07% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.72% Total : 23.57% | 0-1 @ 6.46% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 4.71% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 2.73% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.76% Total : 18.13% |
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