Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosario Central win with a probability of 42.61%. A win for Estudiantes had a probability of 32.08% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rosario Central win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Estudiantes win was 0-1 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rosario Central would win this match.
