SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gimnasia win with a probability of 44.14%. A draw had a probability of 28.4% and a win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 27.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gimnasia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.85%) and 2-1 (8.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.07%), while for a San Lorenzo win it was 0-1 (10.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gimnasia | Draw | San Lorenzo |
44.14% ( 0.02) | 28.4% ( 0) | 27.46% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 44.16% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.43% ( -0.02) | 61.57% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.58% ( -0.02) | 81.42% ( 0.02) |
| Gimnasia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.21% | 27.79% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.62% ( -0) | 63.37% |
| San Lorenzo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.16% ( -0.03) | 38.84% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.43% ( -0.03) | 75.57% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gimnasia | Draw | San Lorenzo |
| 1-0 @ 13.82% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.85% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 8.37% 3-0 @ 3.78% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.57% 3-2 @ 1.69% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.21% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.14% Other @ 1.71% Total : 44.14% | 1-1 @ 13.07% 0-0 @ 10.79% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 3.96% ( -0)Other @ 0.57% Total : 28.39% | 0-1 @ 10.2% 1-2 @ 6.18% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.83% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.95% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.52% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.25% ( -0)Other @ 1.53% Total : 27.45% |
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