SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 44.04%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Argentinos Juniors had a probability of 27.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.78%) and 1-2 (8.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.06%), while for an Argentinos Juniors win it was 1-0 (10.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Argentinos Juniors | Draw | River Plate |
27.68% ( -0.06) | 28.28% ( 0.02) | 44.04% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 44.6% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.92% ( -0.1) | 61.08% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.94% ( -0.08) | 81.05% ( 0.07) |
| Argentinos Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.61% ( -0.11) | 38.38% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.86% ( -0.11) | 75.13% ( 0.1) |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.39% ( -0.03) | 27.61% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.85% ( -0.04) | 63.15% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Argentinos Juniors | Draw | River Plate |
| 1-0 @ 10.14% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.25% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 4.86% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.55% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.28% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.59% Total : 27.67% | 1-1 @ 13.06% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.59% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 4.02% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.6% Total : 28.27% | 0-1 @ 13.63% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 8.78% ( 0.02)1-2 @ 8.4% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.77% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.61% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.21% 1-4 @ 1.16% ( -0)Other @ 1.75% Total : 44.03% |
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