Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 36.16%. A win for Gimnasia had a probability of 33.91% and a draw had a probability of 29.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentinos Juniors win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.24%) and 0-2 (7.03%). The likeliest Gimnasia win was 1-0 (12.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Gimnasia | Draw | Argentinos Juniors |
33.91% ( 0.02) | 29.94% ( 0.01) | 36.16% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 42.27% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
35.07% ( -0.02) | 64.93% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
16.16% ( -0.01) | 83.84% ( 0.02) |
Gimnasia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.25% ( 0) | 35.75% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.48% | 72.52% ( -0) |
Argentinos Juniors Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.79% ( -0.03) | 34.21% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.09% ( -0.03) | 70.91% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Gimnasia | Draw | Argentinos Juniors |
1-0 @ 12.58% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.94% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.47% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.38% 3-0 @ 2.22% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.28% ( -0) Other @ 2.04% Total : 33.9% | 1-1 @ 13.49% 0-0 @ 12.23% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.72% ( -0) Other @ 0.49% Total : 29.93% | 0-1 @ 13.11% 1-2 @ 7.24% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7.03% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.59% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.52% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.33% ( -0) Other @ 2.34% Total : 36.15% |
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