SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 66.42%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Gimnasia had a probability of 12.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.16%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.72%), while for a Gimnasia win it was 0-1 (4.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Estudiantes | Draw | Gimnasia |
66.42% ( 0.11) | 20.64% ( -0.01) | 12.93% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 44.04% ( -0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.91% ( -0.2) | 50.08% ( 0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.94% ( -0.18) | 72.05% ( 0.17) |
| Estudiantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.77% ( -0.03) | 14.22% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.04% ( -0.06) | 41.96% ( 0.06) |
| Gimnasia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.34% ( -0.29) | 48.66% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.29% ( -0.21) | 83.71% ( 0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Estudiantes | Draw | Gimnasia |
| 1-0 @ 13.49% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 13.16% ( 0.08)2-1 @ 9.48% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 8.56% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 6.16% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 4.17% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 3.01% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 1.63% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.17% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.28% Total : 66.41% | 1-1 @ 9.72% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.92% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 3.42% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.58% Total : 20.64% | 0-1 @ 4.99% ( -0) 1-2 @ 3.5% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 1.8% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.65% Total : 12.93% |
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