SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Godoy Cruz win with a probability of 49.93%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Gimnasia had a probability of 22.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Godoy Cruz win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.45%) and 2-1 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.54%), while for a Gimnasia win it was 0-1 (9.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Godoy Cruz would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Godoy Cruz | Draw | Gimnasia |
49.93% ( -0.16) | 27.54% ( 0.25) | 22.53% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 42.38% ( -0.72) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.24% ( -0.88) | 61.77% ( 0.88) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.44% ( -0.66) | 81.56% ( 0.66) |
| Godoy Cruz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.01% ( -0.47) | 24.99% ( 0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.35% ( -0.66) | 59.65% ( 0.66) |
| Gimnasia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.5% ( -0.6) | 43.5% ( 0.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.29% ( -0.5) | 79.71% ( 0.51) |
| Score Analysis |
| Godoy Cruz | Draw | Gimnasia |
| 1-0 @ 15.07% ( 0.29) 2-0 @ 10.45% ( 0.06)2-1 @ 8.7% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 4.83% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 4.02% ( -0.1)4-0 @ 1.68% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.67% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 1.39% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.11% Total : 49.92% | 1-1 @ 12.54% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 10.87% ( 0.35)2-2 @ 3.62% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.5% Total : 27.53% | 0-1 @ 9.05% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 5.22% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 3.77% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.99% Total : 22.53% |
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