SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Defensa y Justicia | 12 | 7 | 22 |
| 6 | Gimnasia | 13 | 2 | 21 |
| 7 | Aldosivi | 12 | 4 | 20 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 15 | Colon | 13 | 0 | 16 |
| 16 | Godoy Cruz | 12 | -1 | 15 |
| 17 | San Lorenzo | 14 | -2 | 15 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gimnasia win with a probability of 47.32%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Godoy Cruz had a probability of 26.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gimnasia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.08%) and 2-1 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.55%), while for a Godoy Cruz win it was 0-1 (8.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gimnasia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gimnasia | Draw | Godoy Cruz |
47.32% ( 0.35) | 26.6% ( 0.49) | 26.08% ( -0.84) |
| Both teams to score 48.08% ( -2.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.92% ( -2.37) | 56.08% ( 2.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.85% ( -1.96) | 77.15% ( 1.96) |
| Gimnasia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.29% ( -0.85) | 23.71% ( 0.86) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.17% ( -1.24) | 57.83% ( 1.25) |
| Godoy Cruz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.03% ( -1.99) | 36.97% ( 1.99) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.24% ( -2.03) | 73.76% ( 2.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gimnasia | Draw | Godoy Cruz |
| 1-0 @ 12.61% ( 0.81) 2-0 @ 9.08% ( 0.37)2-1 @ 9.03% ( -0.11)3-0 @ 4.36% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 4.34% ( -0.17)3-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.21)4-0 @ 1.57% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.56% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.61% Total : 47.31% | 1-1 @ 12.55% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 8.77% ( 0.77)2-2 @ 4.5% ( -0.31)Other @ 0.78% Total : 26.59% | 0-1 @ 8.72% ( 0.32) 1-2 @ 6.25% ( -0.27)0-2 @ 4.34% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.21)2-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.19)0-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.11)Other @ 1.78% Total : 26.08% |
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