Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 37.28%. A win for Gimnasia had a probability of 34.92% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.95%) and 0-2 (6.82%). The likeliest Gimnasia win was 1-0 (10.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.
