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Copa Diego Maradona | Second Phase
Dec 11, 2021 at 8pm UK
Estadio Presbitero Bartolome Grella

Patronato
0 - 0
Gimnasia


Leys (51'), Nievas (58'), Benitez (89')
FT

Aleman (71'), Fratta (74'), Licht (86')
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Second Phase clash between Patronato and Gimnasia.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Patronato win with a probability of 41.46%. A win for Gimnasia had a probability of 30.23% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Patronato win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.24%) and 2-0 (8.04%). The likeliest Gimnasia win was 0-1 (10.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.

Result
PatronatoDrawGimnasia
41.46%28.31%30.23%
Both teams to score 45.77%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.76%60.24%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.58%80.42%
Patronato Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.39%28.61%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.59%64.41%
Gimnasia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.1%35.9%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.33%72.67%
Score Analysis
    Patronato 41.46%
    Gimnasia 30.23%
    Draw 28.29%
PatronatoDrawGimnasia
1-0 @ 12.85%
2-1 @ 8.24%
2-0 @ 8.04%
3-1 @ 3.44%
3-0 @ 3.36%
3-2 @ 1.76%
4-1 @ 1.08%
4-0 @ 1.05%
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 41.46%
1-1 @ 13.16%
0-0 @ 10.26%
2-2 @ 4.22%
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 28.29%
0-1 @ 10.52%
1-2 @ 6.75%
0-2 @ 5.39%
1-3 @ 2.3%
0-3 @ 1.84%
2-3 @ 1.44%
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 30.23%

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