SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | Godoy Cruz | 12 | -1 | 15 |
| 17 | San Lorenzo | 14 | -2 | 15 |
| 18 | Lanus | 13 | -1 | 14 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Estudiantes | 13 | 15 | 28 |
| 3 | River Plate | 13 | 18 | 26 |
| 4 | Boca Juniors | 13 | 6 | 24 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 53.35%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 21.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.7%) and 1-2 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.98%), while for a San Lorenzo win it was 1-0 (7.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for River Plate in this match.
| Result | ||
| San Lorenzo | Draw | River Plate |
21.05% ( -0.15) | 25.59% ( 0.01) | 53.35% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 45.68% ( -0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.47% ( -0.18) | 56.53% ( 0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.48% ( -0.15) | 77.52% ( 0.16) |
| San Lorenzo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58% ( -0.26) | 42% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.57% ( -0.23) | 78.43% ( 0.24) |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.76% ( -0.01) | 21.24% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.86% ( -0.02) | 54.15% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| San Lorenzo | Draw | River Plate |
| 1-0 @ 7.74% ( -0) 2-1 @ 5.2% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 3.36% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 1.5% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.17% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.12% Total : 21.05% | 1-1 @ 11.98% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.92% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 4.03% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.66% Total : 25.58% | 0-1 @ 13.82% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 10.7% ( 0.07)1-2 @ 9.29% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 5.53% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 4.8% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 2.14% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.86% ( -0)Other @ 3.13% Total : 53.35% |
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