Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colon win with a probability of 39.25%. A win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 31.74% and a draw had a probability of 29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colon win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.85%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest San Lorenzo win was 0-1 (11.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.

Result
Colon	Draw	San Lorenzo
39.25% ( 0.38)	29% ( 0.04)	31.74% ( -0.43)

Both teams to score 44.37% (

-0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.79% (

-0.23)

62.2% (

0.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.11% (

-0.17)

81.88% (

0.17)

Colon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.15% (

0.11)

30.85% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.87% (

0.13)

67.13% (

-0.14)

San Lorenzo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.17% (

-0.44)

35.83% (

0.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.4% (

-0.45)

72.6% (

0.45)

Score Analysis

Colon 39.25%

San Lorenzo 31.73%

Draw 29%

Colon	Draw	San Lorenzo
1-0 @ 12.99% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 7.85% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.64% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 3.08% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 1.58% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 0.9% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.22% Total : 39.25%	1-1 @ 13.34% 0-0 @ 11.05% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 4.03% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.58% Total : 29%	0-1 @ 11.34% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 6.85% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 5.82% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.01% Total : 31.73%