SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Union | 13 | -1 | 17 |
| 15 | Colon | 13 | 0 | 16 |
| 16 | Godoy Cruz | 12 | -1 | 15 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | Godoy Cruz | 12 | -1 | 15 |
| 17 | San Lorenzo | 14 | -2 | 15 |
| 18 | Lanus | 13 | -1 | 14 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colon win with a probability of 39.25%. A win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 31.74% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colon win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.85%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest San Lorenzo win was 0-1 (11.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Colon | Draw | San Lorenzo |
39.25% ( 0.38) | 29% ( 0.04) | 31.74% ( -0.43) |
| Both teams to score 44.37% ( -0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.79% ( -0.23) | 62.2% ( 0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.11% ( -0.17) | 81.88% ( 0.17) |
| Colon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.15% ( 0.11) | 30.85% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.87% ( 0.13) | 67.13% ( -0.14) |
| San Lorenzo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.17% ( -0.44) | 35.83% ( 0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.4% ( -0.45) | 72.6% ( 0.45) |
| Score Analysis |
| Colon | Draw | San Lorenzo |
| 1-0 @ 12.99% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 7.85% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 7.64% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 3.08% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 1.58% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 0.9% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.22% Total : 39.25% | 1-1 @ 13.34% 0-0 @ 11.05% ( 0.1)2-2 @ 4.03% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.58% Total : 29% | 0-1 @ 11.34% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 6.85% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 5.82% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.01% Total : 31.73% |
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