SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 39.26%. A draw had a probability of 30.8% and a win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 29.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.04%) and 2-1 (7.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.74%), while for a San Lorenzo win it was 0-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lanus would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lanus | Draw | San Lorenzo |
39.26% ( 0.51) | 30.83% ( 0.09) | 29.91% ( -0.6) |
| Both teams to score 39.3% ( -0.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 31.9% ( -0.36) | 68.09% ( 0.36) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14% ( -0.24) | 86% ( 0.24) |
| Lanus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.08% ( 0.12) | 33.92% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.41% ( 0.13) | 70.59% ( -0.13) |
| San Lorenzo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.47% ( -0.69) | 40.53% ( 0.69) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.86% ( -0.63) | 77.13% ( 0.63) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lanus | Draw | San Lorenzo |
| 1-0 @ 14.86% ( 0.25) 2-0 @ 8.04% ( 0.16)2-1 @ 7.26% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.9% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 2.62% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.41% Total : 39.25% | 0-0 @ 13.74% ( 0.18) 1-1 @ 13.42% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 3.28% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.38% Total : 30.82% | 0-1 @ 12.41% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 6.06% ( -0.13)0-2 @ 5.61% ( -0.14)1-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.33% Total : 29.91% |
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