Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 60.97%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Lanus had a probability of 16.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.74%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.65%), while for a Lanus win it was 0-1 (5.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.
