SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Godoy Cruz win with a probability of 35.27%. A win for Lanus had a probability of 33.27% and a draw had a probability of 31.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Godoy Cruz win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.03%) and 2-1 (6.67%). The likeliest Lanus win was 0-1 (13.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (14.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 14.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Godoy Cruz | Draw | Lanus |
35.27% ( 0.44) | 31.46% ( 0.02) | 33.27% ( -0.45) |
| Both teams to score 38.43% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 30.58% ( -0.06) | 69.42% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 13.14% ( -0.04) | 86.86% ( 0.04) |
| Godoy Cruz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.71% ( 0.27) | 37.29% ( -0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.93% ( 0.27) | 74.07% ( -0.27) |
| Lanus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.29% ( -0.37) | 38.72% ( 0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.55% ( -0.35) | 75.45% ( 0.35) |
| Score Analysis |
| Godoy Cruz | Draw | Lanus |
| 1-0 @ 14.24% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 7.03% ( 0.12)2-1 @ 6.67% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 2.31% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 2.19% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.04% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.79% Total : 35.27% | 0-0 @ 14.43% ( 0.03) 1-1 @ 13.51% 2-2 @ 3.16% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.35% Total : 31.45% | 0-1 @ 13.69% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 6.5% ( -0.12)1-2 @ 6.41% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.58% Total : 33.26% |
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