SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Banfield win with a probability of 41.51%. A draw had a probability of 29.5% and a win for Lanus had a probability of 28.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Banfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.4%) and 2-1 (7.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.3%), while for a Lanus win it was 0-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Banfield | Draw | Lanus |
41.51% ( 0.05) | 29.5% ( -0.01) | 28.99% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 42.15% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.53% ( 0.03) | 64.47% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.48% ( 0.02) | 83.52% ( -0.02) |
| Banfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.33% ( 0.04) | 30.67% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.08% ( 0.05) | 66.91% ( -0.05) |
| Lanus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.79% ( -0.01) | 39.2% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.08% ( -0.01) | 75.91% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Banfield | Draw | Lanus |
| 1-0 @ 14.21% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.4% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 7.86% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.31% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.1% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.45% ( 0)4-0 @ 0.98% ( 0)4-1 @ 0.92% ( 0)Other @ 1.29% Total : 41.51% | 1-1 @ 13.3% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 12.02% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 3.68% ( 0)Other @ 0.49% Total : 29.49% | 0-1 @ 11.25% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.23% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.27% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.95% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.65% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 1.49% Total : 28.98% |
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