SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Godoy Cruz win with a probability of 42.13%. A draw had a probability of 30.7% and a win for Lanus had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Godoy Cruz win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.86%) and 2-1 (7.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.91%), while for a Lanus win it was 0-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Godoy Cruz in this match.
| Result | ||
| Godoy Cruz | Draw | Lanus |
42.13% ( 0.66) | 30.67% ( 0.06) | 27.2% ( -0.71) |
| Both teams to score 38.56% ( -0.47) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 31.59% ( -0.39) | 68.41% ( 0.39) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 13.8% ( -0.26) | 86.2% ( 0.26) |
| Godoy Cruz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.65% ( 0.18) | 32.35% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.14% ( 0.2) | 68.86% ( -0.2) |
| Lanus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57% ( -0.85) | 43% ( 0.85) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.71% ( -0.72) | 79.29% ( 0.72) |
| Score Analysis |
| Godoy Cruz | Draw | Lanus |
| 1-0 @ 15.69% ( 0.3) 2-0 @ 8.86% ( 0.21)2-1 @ 7.48% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.33% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 2.81% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.19% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 0.94% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.82% Total : 42.12% | 0-0 @ 13.91% ( 0.2) 1-1 @ 13.24% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 3.16% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.36% Total : 30.66% | 0-1 @ 11.74% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 5.59% ( -0.16)0-2 @ 4.95% ( -0.16)1-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.08)Other @ 1.95% Total : 27.2% |
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