SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Godoy Cruz win with a probability of 42.12%. A win for Lanus had a probability of 29.16% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Godoy Cruz win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.35%) and 2-1 (8.16%). The likeliest Lanus win was 0-1 (10.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Godoy Cruz | Draw | Lanus |
42.12% ( -0.15) | 28.71% ( 0.18) | 29.16% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 44.22% ( -0.51) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.05% ( -0.63) | 61.94% ( 0.62) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.3% ( -0.47) | 81.69% ( 0.46) |
| Godoy Cruz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.93% ( -0.39) | 29.07% ( 0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.01% ( -0.48) | 64.98% ( 0.48) |
| Lanus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.34% ( -0.38) | 37.65% ( 0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.56% ( -0.37) | 74.43% ( 0.36) |
| Score Analysis |
| Godoy Cruz | Draw | Lanus |
| 1-0 @ 13.52% ( 0.17) 2-0 @ 8.35% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 8.16% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 3.44% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 3.36% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 1.64% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 1.06% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.54% Total : 42.12% | 1-1 @ 13.2% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 10.94% ( 0.25)2-2 @ 3.99% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.58% Total : 28.7% | 0-1 @ 10.69% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 6.45% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 5.22% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.7% Total : 29.16% |
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