SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 15 | Colon | 13 | 0 | 16 |
| 16 | Godoy Cruz | 12 | -1 | 15 |
| 17 | San Lorenzo | 14 | -2 | 15 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 17 | San Lorenzo | 14 | -2 | 15 |
| 18 | Lanus | 13 | -1 | 14 |
| 19 | Arsenal Sarandi | 12 | 0 | 13 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Godoy Cruz win with a probability of 56.06%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Lanus had a probability of 19.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Godoy Cruz win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.85%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.45%), while for a Lanus win it was 0-1 (6.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Godoy Cruz in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Godoy Cruz.
| Result | ||
| Godoy Cruz | Draw | Lanus |
56.06% ( -0.66) | 24.2% ( 0.22) | 19.74% ( 0.45) |
| Both teams to score 47.72% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.15% ( -0.27) | 52.85% ( 0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.53% ( -0.23) | 74.47% ( 0.23) |
| Godoy Cruz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.28% ( -0.35) | 18.72% ( 0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.91% ( -0.59) | 50.09% ( 0.59) |
| Lanus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.71% ( 0.34) | 41.29% ( -0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.19% ( 0.3) | 77.81% ( -0.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| Godoy Cruz | Draw | Lanus |
| 1-0 @ 12.95% 2-0 @ 10.85% ( -0.12)2-1 @ 9.6% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 6.06% ( -0.14)3-1 @ 5.36% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 2.54% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 2.37% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.25% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.1% Total : 56.06% | 1-1 @ 11.45% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 7.73% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 4.25% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.77% Total : 24.19% | 0-1 @ 6.84% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 5.07% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 3.02% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.06% Total : 19.74% |
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