SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 49.92%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Instituto had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.51%) and 2-1 (8.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.55%), while for a Instituto win it was 0-1 (9.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lanus would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lanus | Draw | Instituto |
49.92% ( -0.16) | 27.68% ( 0.03) | 22.4% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 41.92% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.72% | 62.28% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.06% | 81.94% ( 0) |
| Lanus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.77% ( -0.07) | 25.23% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.02% ( -0.1) | 59.98% ( 0.11) |
| Instituto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.07% ( 0.13) | 43.93% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.93% ( 0.11) | 80.07% ( -0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lanus | Draw | Instituto |
| 1-0 @ 15.26% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 10.51% ( -0.04)2-1 @ 8.65% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.82% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 3.97% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.66% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.63% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.37% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.05% Total : 49.92% | 1-1 @ 12.55% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 11.08% 2-2 @ 3.56% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.48% Total : 27.67% | 0-1 @ 9.12% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 5.16% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 3.75% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.95% Total : 22.4% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
