SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Banfield win with a probability of 34.84%. A win for Deportivo Riestra had a probability of 34.58% and a draw had a probability of 30.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Banfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (6.88%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Deportivo Riestra win was 1-0 (13.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Deportivo Riestra | Draw | Banfield |
34.58% ( -0.07) | 30.58% ( -0.05) | 34.84% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 40.63% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 33.12% ( 0.14) | 66.88% ( -0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.81% ( 0.1) | 85.18% ( -0.1) |
| Deportivo Riestra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.65% ( 0.03) | 36.35% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.86% ( 0.03) | 73.13% ( -0.03) |
| Banfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.83% ( 0.16) | 36.17% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.05% ( 0.17) | 72.95% ( -0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Deportivo Riestra | Draw | Banfield |
| 1-0 @ 13.3% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 6.85% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.73% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 2.31% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.27% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.18% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.94% Total : 34.57% | 1-1 @ 13.53% 0-0 @ 13.14% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 3.48% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.43% Total : 30.58% | 0-1 @ 13.36% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.88% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 6.8% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.33% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.97% Total : 34.83% |
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