SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Instituto win with a probability of 40.3%. A draw had a probability of 30.1% and a win for Rosario Central had a probability of 29.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Instituto win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.19%) and 2-1 (7.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.38%), while for a Rosario Central win it was 0-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Instituto | Draw | Rosario Central |
40.3% ( -0.05) | 30.1% ( -0.07) | 29.6% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 40.91% ( 0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 33.9% ( 0.24) | 66.1% ( -0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.34% ( 0.17) | 84.65% ( -0.17) |
| Instituto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.78% ( 0.1) | 32.22% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.29% ( 0.11) | 68.71% ( -0.11) |
| Rosario Central Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.36% ( 0.23) | 39.64% ( -0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.68% ( 0.22) | 76.32% ( -0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Instituto | Draw | Rosario Central |
| 1-0 @ 14.46% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 8.19% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 7.58% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.09% ( -0)3-1 @ 2.86% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.32% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.79% Total : 40.3% | 1-1 @ 13.38% 0-0 @ 12.77% ( -0.11)2-2 @ 3.51% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.44% Total : 30.09% | 0-1 @ 11.81% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.19% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 5.47% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.91% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.44% Total : 29.59% |
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