SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Instituto win with a probability of 38.08%. A draw had a probability of 32.5% and a win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 29.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Instituto win was 1-0 with a probability of 16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.93%) and 2-1 (6.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (16.14%), while for a Velez Sarsfield win it was 0-1 (13.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Instituto | Draw | Velez Sarsfield |
38.08% ( -0.16) | 32.47% ( 0.17) | 29.44% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 35.53% ( -0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 27.57% ( -0.42) | 72.42% ( 0.42) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 11.25% ( -0.26) | 88.74% ( 0.25) |
| Instituto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.89% ( -0.35) | 37.1% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.11% ( -0.34) | 73.89% ( 0.34) |
| Velez Sarsfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.49% ( -0.27) | 43.5% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.28% ( -0.23) | 79.71% ( 0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Instituto | Draw | Velez Sarsfield |
| 1-0 @ 16% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 7.93% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 6.6% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 2.62% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 2.18% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.83% Total : 38.08% | 0-0 @ 16.14% ( 0.25) 1-1 @ 13.32% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 2.75% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.27% Total : 32.47% | 0-1 @ 13.43% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 5.59% ( 0)1-2 @ 5.54% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.78% Total : 29.44% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
