SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Instituto win with a probability of 58.32%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Barracas Central had a probability of 15.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Instituto win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.43%) and 2-1 (8.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.13%), while for a Barracas Central win it was 0-1 (7.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Instituto | Draw | Barracas Central |
58.32% ( 0.18) | 26.22% ( 0.13) | 15.45% ( -0.31) |
| Both teams to score 35.81% ( -0.82) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.28% ( -0.75) | 64.72% ( 0.76) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.31% ( -0.53) | 83.69% ( 0.54) |
| Instituto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.42% ( -0.25) | 22.58% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.82% ( -0.37) | 56.18% ( 0.37) |
| Barracas Central Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 46.26% ( -0.9) | 53.74% ( 0.9) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 12.88% ( -0.57) | 87.12% ( 0.57) |
| Score Analysis |
| Instituto | Draw | Barracas Central |
| 1-0 @ 18.05% ( 0.36) 2-0 @ 13.43% ( 0.17)2-1 @ 8.34% ( -0.12)3-0 @ 6.67% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 4.14% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 2.48% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.54% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.29% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.38% Total : 58.31% | 0-0 @ 12.13% ( 0.34) 1-1 @ 11.21% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 2.59% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.28% Total : 26.21% | 0-1 @ 7.54% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 3.48% ( -0.12)0-2 @ 2.34% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.1% Total : 15.45% |
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