SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union win with a probability of 43.26%. A draw had a probability of 30.2% and a win for Lanus had a probability of 26.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.09%) and 2-1 (7.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.31%), while for a Lanus win it was 0-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Union | Draw | Lanus |
43.26% ( -0.2) | 30.16% ( 0.09) | 26.59% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 39.39% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 32.77% ( -0.2) | 67.24% ( 0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.58% ( -0.13) | 85.42% ( 0.13) |
| Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.92% ( -0.22) | 31.08% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.6% ( -0.25) | 67.41% ( 0.25) |
| Lanus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.16% ( -0.01) | 42.85% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.84% ( -0.01) | 79.16% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Union | Draw | Lanus |
| 1-0 @ 15.56% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 9.09% ( -0.04)2-1 @ 7.71% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 3.54% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 3% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.27% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.03% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.05% Total : 43.26% | 0-0 @ 13.31% ( 0.09) 1-1 @ 13.19% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 3.27% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.38% Total : 30.15% | 0-1 @ 11.28% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 5.59% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.78% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 1.58% 0-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.07% Total : 26.58% |
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