SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 55.13%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Lanus had a probability of 18.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.03%) and 2-1 (8.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.85%), while for a Lanus win it was 0-1 (8.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Estudiantes | Draw | Lanus |
55.13% ( 1.63) | 26.47% ( -0.08) | 18.4% ( -1.55) |
| Both teams to score 39.9% ( -1.93) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.86% ( -1.32) | 62.13% ( 1.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.16% ( -0.98) | 81.83% ( 0.98) |
| Estudiantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.17% ( 0.14) | 22.82% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.45% ( 0.21) | 56.54% ( -0.21) |
| Lanus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.7% ( -2.6) | 48.3% ( 2.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.55% ( -1.96) | 83.45% ( 1.96) |
| Score Analysis |
| Estudiantes | Draw | Lanus |
| 1-0 @ 16.28% ( 0.84) 2-0 @ 12.03% ( 0.68)2-1 @ 8.76% ( -0.14)3-0 @ 5.92% ( 0.36)3-1 @ 4.31% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 2.19% ( 0.14)4-1 @ 1.59% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.57% ( -0.14)Other @ 2.47% Total : 55.12% | 1-1 @ 11.85% ( -0.24) 0-0 @ 11.02% ( 0.53)2-2 @ 3.19% ( -0.3)Other @ 0.41% Total : 26.46% | 0-1 @ 8.02% ( -0.2) 1-2 @ 4.31% ( -0.42)0-2 @ 2.92% ( -0.3)1-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.19)Other @ 2.1% Total : 18.4% |
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