SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 40.66%. A win for Racing Club had a probability of 32.36% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (7.36%). The likeliest Racing Club win was 0-1 (9.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lanus | Draw | Racing Club |
40.66% ( -0.07) | 26.98% ( 0.01) | 32.36% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 50.37% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.21% ( -0.03) | 54.78% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.91% ( -0.02) | 76.09% ( 0.03) |
| Lanus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.52% ( -0.05) | 26.47% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.34% ( -0.07) | 61.66% ( 0.07) |
| Racing Club Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.5% ( 0.03) | 31.5% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.11% ( 0.03) | 67.88% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lanus | Draw | Racing Club |
| 1-0 @ 11.08% 2-1 @ 8.51% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.36% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.77% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.26% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.18% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.25% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.08% ( -0)Other @ 2.16% Total : 40.65% | 1-1 @ 12.8% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.34% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.91% ( -0)Other @ 0.92% Total : 26.98% | 0-1 @ 9.63% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.4% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.56% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.85% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.14% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.89% Other @ 2.89% Total : 32.37% |
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