SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newell's Old Boys win with a probability of 35.84%. A win for Lanus had a probability of 34.98% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newell's Old Boys win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.41%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Lanus win was 1-0 (12.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newell's Old Boys would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lanus | Draw | Newell's Old Boys |
34.98% ( 0.42) | 29.18% ( -0.15) | 35.84% ( -0.26) |
| Both teams to score 44.37% ( 0.44) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.57% ( 0.53) | 62.43% ( -0.53) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.95% ( 0.38) | 82.05% ( -0.38) |
| Lanus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.33% ( 0.56) | 33.67% ( -0.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.68% ( 0.61) | 70.32% ( -0.6) |
| Newell's Old Boys Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.9% ( 0.1) | 33.1% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.3% ( 0.11) | 69.7% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lanus | Draw | Newell's Old Boys |
| 1-0 @ 12.13% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 7.3% ( 0.1)2-0 @ 6.6% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 2.65% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 2.4% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 1.46% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.44% Total : 34.98% | 1-1 @ 13.41% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 11.14% ( -0.22)2-2 @ 4.04% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.58% Total : 29.17% | 0-1 @ 12.32% ( -0.21) 1-2 @ 7.41% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.81% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 2.73% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.51% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.56% Total : 35.84% |
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