Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union win with a probability of 36.89%. A win for Lanus had a probability of 31.77% and a draw had a probability of 31.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.45%) and 2-1 (6.88%). The likeliest Lanus win was 0-1 (13.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (14.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.

Result
Union	Draw	Lanus
36.89% ( -1.22)	31.34% ( 2.23)	31.77% ( -1)

Both teams to score 38.54% (

-5.75)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

30.79% (

-6.8)

69.21% (

6.8)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

13.27% (

-4.68)

86.73% (

4.69)

Union Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.94% (

-4.41)

36.06% (

4.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.15% (

-4.78)

72.84% (

4.79)

Lanus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.27% (

-4.53)

39.73% (

4.54)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.6% (

-4.45)

76.4% (

4.46)

Score Analysis

Union 36.89%

Lanus 31.76%

Draw 31.33%

Union	Draw	Lanus
1-0 @ 14.61% ( 1.8) 2-0 @ 7.45% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 6.88% ( -0.82) 3-0 @ 2.53% ( -0.29) 3-1 @ 2.34% ( -0.61) 3-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.46) Other @ 2% Total : 36.89%	0-0 @ 14.32% ( 3.19) 1-1 @ 13.48% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 3.18% ( -0.85) Other @ 0.35% Total : 31.33%	0-1 @ 13.22% ( 1.59) 1-2 @ 6.23% ( -0.76) 0-2 @ 6.1% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.52) 0-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.24) 2-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.42) Other @ 1.44% Total : 31.76%