SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newell's Old Boys win with a probability of 58.97%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Barracas Central had a probability of 16.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newell's Old Boys win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.56%) and 2-1 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.23%), while for a Barracas Central win it was 0-1 (6.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Newell's Old Boys in this match.
| Result | ||
| Newell's Old Boys | Draw | Barracas Central |
58.97% ( 0.77) | 24.51% ( -0.36) | 16.52% ( -0.41) |
| Both teams to score 41.59% ( 0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.91% ( 0.66) | 58.09% ( -0.65) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.24% ( 0.51) | 78.76% ( -0.51) |
| Newell's Old Boys Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.39% ( 0.56) | 19.61% ( -0.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.44% ( 0.9) | 51.56% ( -0.89) |
| Barracas Central Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.73% ( -0.14) | 48.27% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.57% ( -0.11) | 83.43% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newell's Old Boys | Draw | Barracas Central |
| 1-0 @ 15.42% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 12.56% ( 0.12)2-1 @ 9.15% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 6.82% ( 0.18)3-1 @ 4.97% ( 0.11)4-0 @ 2.78% ( 0.12)4-1 @ 2.02% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 1.81% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 0.91% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.54% Total : 58.97% | 1-1 @ 11.23% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 9.47% ( -0.24)2-2 @ 3.33% ( 0)Other @ 0.47% Total : 24.5% | 0-1 @ 6.9% ( -0.2) 1-2 @ 4.09% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 2.51% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.03% Total : 16.52% |
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