SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarmiento win with a probability of 49.6%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Barracas Central had a probability of 24.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sarmiento win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.6%) and 2-1 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.33%), while for a Barracas Central win it was 0-1 (8.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-5 was predicted with a 0% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sarmiento | Draw | Barracas Central |
49.6% ( 0.78) | 26.13% ( -0.36) | 24.27% ( -0.41) |
| Both teams to score 47.8% ( 0.63) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.36% ( 1.02) | 55.64% ( -1.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.2% ( 0.83) | 76.79% ( -0.83) |
| Sarmiento Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.52% ( 0.78) | 22.48% ( -0.78) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.96% ( 1.15) | 56.03% ( -1.15) |
| Barracas Central Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.66% ( 0.19) | 38.33% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.91% ( 0.18) | 75.09% ( -0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sarmiento | Draw | Barracas Central |
| 1-0 @ 12.86% ( -0.21) 2-0 @ 9.6% ( 0.07)2-1 @ 9.2% ( 0.11)3-0 @ 4.78% ( 0.14)3-1 @ 4.58% ( 0.16)3-2 @ 2.2% ( 0.09)4-0 @ 1.78% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 1.71% ( 0.1)Other @ 2.9% Total : 49.6% | 1-1 @ 12.33% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 8.62% ( -0.34)2-2 @ 4.41% ( 0.08)Other @ 0.77% Total : 26.13% | 0-1 @ 8.26% ( -0.29) 1-2 @ 5.91% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 3.96% ( -0.12)1-3 @ 1.89% 2-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.56% Total : 24.27% |
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