SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newell's Old Boys win with a probability of 41.66%. A win for Barracas Central had a probability of 31.19% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newell's Old Boys win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.56%) and 0-2 (7.69%). The likeliest Barracas Central win was 1-0 (9.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Barracas Central | Draw | Newell's Old Boys |
31.19% ( 0.54) | 27.15% ( 0.11) | 41.66% ( -0.66) |
| Both teams to score 49.46% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.24% ( -0.26) | 55.75% ( 0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.11% ( -0.21) | 76.89% ( 0.21) |
| Barracas Central Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.18% ( 0.25) | 32.81% ( -0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.62% ( 0.28) | 69.38% ( -0.29) |
| Newell's Old Boys Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.61% ( -0.47) | 26.38% ( 0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.46% ( -0.63) | 61.53% ( 0.62) |
| Score Analysis |
| Barracas Central | Draw | Newell's Old Boys |
| 1-0 @ 9.65% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 7.16% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 5.37% ( 0.13)3-1 @ 2.66% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 2% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 1.77% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.58% Total : 31.19% | 1-1 @ 12.85% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 8.66% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 4.77% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.86% Total : 27.14% | 0-1 @ 11.53% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 8.56% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 7.69% ( -0.13)1-3 @ 3.8% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 3.41% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.14% Total : 41.66% |
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