SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gimnasia win with a probability of 38.76%. A win for Barracas Central had a probability of 32.5% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gimnasia win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.87%) and 0-2 (7.45%). The likeliest Barracas Central win was 1-0 (11.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Barracas Central | Draw | Gimnasia |
32.5% ( -0.35) | 28.74% ( 0.04) | 38.76% ( 0.31) |
| Both teams to score 45.27% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.8% ( -0.19) | 61.19% ( 0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.86% ( -0.14) | 81.14% ( 0.14) |
| Barracas Central Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.26% ( -0.34) | 34.73% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.53% ( -0.37) | 71.46% ( 0.37) |
| Gimnasia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.36% ( 0.09) | 30.64% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.11% ( 0.11) | 66.88% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Barracas Central | Draw | Gimnasia |
| 1-0 @ 11.25% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 7.04% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 5.95% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 2.48% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 2.1% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.21% Total : 32.49% | 1-1 @ 13.31% 0-0 @ 10.64% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 4.16% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.63% Total : 28.74% | 0-1 @ 12.58% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 7.87% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 7.45% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 3.1% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.94% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.25% Total : 38.75% |
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