SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union win with a probability of 46.41%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Newell's Old Boys had a probability of 25.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.51%) and 2-1 (8.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.9%), while for a Newell's Old Boys win it was 0-1 (9.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Union | Draw | Newell's Old Boys |
46.41% ( -1.28) | 28.23% ( 0.39) | 25.35% ( 0.89) |
| Both teams to score 43.16% ( -0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.89% ( -0.73) | 62.1% ( 0.73) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.19% ( -0.54) | 81.81% ( 0.54) |
| Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.13% ( -0.98) | 26.87% ( 0.98) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.82% ( -1.3) | 62.18% ( 1.3) |
| Newell's Old Boys Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.01% ( 0.4) | 40.98% ( -0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.46% ( 0.36) | 77.54% ( -0.36) |
| Score Analysis |
| Union | Draw | Newell's Old Boys |
| 1-0 @ 14.47% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.51% ( -0.27)2-1 @ 8.48% ( -0.15)3-0 @ 4.17% ( -0.24)3-1 @ 3.72% ( -0.17)3-2 @ 1.66% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 1.37% ( -0.12)4-1 @ 1.22% ( -0.09)Other @ 1.82% Total : 46.41% | 1-1 @ 12.9% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 11.01% ( 0.3)2-2 @ 3.78% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.53% Total : 28.22% | 0-1 @ 9.82% ( 0.37) 1-2 @ 5.76% ( 0.12)0-2 @ 4.38% ( 0.21)1-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.26% Total : 25.35% |
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