SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 48.66%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Newell's Old Boys had a probability of 23.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.23%) and 2-1 (8.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.7%), while for a Newell's Old Boys win it was 0-1 (9.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Independiente in this match.
| Result | ||
| Independiente | Draw | Newell's Old Boys |
48.66% ( 0.14) | 28.1% ( 0.02) | 23.23% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 41.71% ( -0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37% ( -0.17) | 63% ( 0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.53% ( -0.13) | 82.47% ( 0.12) |
| Independiente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.83% ( -0.01) | 26.16% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.75% ( -0.01) | 61.24% ( 0.01) |
| Newell's Old Boys Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.48% ( -0.26) | 43.51% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.28% ( -0.22) | 79.72% ( 0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Independiente | Draw | Newell's Old Boys |
| 1-0 @ 15.26% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 10.23% ( 0.06)2-1 @ 8.52% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.57% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.81% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.58% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.53% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.28% ( -0)Other @ 1.88% Total : 48.66% | 1-1 @ 12.7% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 11.38% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 3.54% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.47% Total : 28.09% | 0-1 @ 9.47% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.29% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 3.94% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.99% Total : 23.23% |
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