SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 53.31%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Platense had a probability of 19.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win was 1-0 with a probability of 16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.51%) and 2-1 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.12%), while for a Platense win it was 0-1 (8.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for San Lorenzo in this match.
| Result | ||
| San Lorenzo | Draw | Platense |
53.31% ( 0.18) | 26.97% ( -0.12) | 19.71% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 40.5% ( 0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.62% ( 0.28) | 62.38% ( -0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.98% ( 0.21) | 82.01% ( -0.21) |
| San Lorenzo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.27% ( 0.21) | 23.72% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.15% ( 0.3) | 57.85% ( -0.3) |
| Platense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.1% ( 0.09) | 46.89% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.59% ( 0.06) | 82.41% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| San Lorenzo | Draw | Platense |
| 1-0 @ 16% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 11.51% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 8.72% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 5.52% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 4.18% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 1.99% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.58% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.5% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.3% Total : 53.3% | 1-1 @ 12.12% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 11.12% ( -0.12)2-2 @ 3.3% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.43% Total : 26.97% | 0-1 @ 8.42% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 4.59% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.19% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.16% ( 0)Other @ 2.35% Total : 19.71% |
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