SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 81.2%. A draw had a probability of 13.4% and a win for Platense had a probability of 5.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.07%) and 1-0 (12.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.18%), while for a Platense win it was 0-1 (2.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.
| Result | ||
| River Plate | Draw | Platense |
81.2% ( -0.03) | 13.41% ( 0.02) | 5.38% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 35.55% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.33% ( -0.03) | 42.67% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.93% ( -0.03) | 65.07% ( 0.03) |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.74% ( -0.01) | 8.26% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 71.15% ( -0.04) | 28.85% ( 0.04) |
| Platense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 38.75% ( 0.02) | 61.24% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 8.73% ( 0.01) | 91.27% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| River Plate | Draw | Platense |
| 2-0 @ 15.72% 3-0 @ 13.07% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 12.61% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 8.15% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 7.71% ( 0)3-1 @ 6.41% ( -0)5-0 @ 4.07% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 4% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.99% ( -0)6-0 @ 1.69% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.57% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.98% Other @ 3.21% Total : 81.19% | 1-1 @ 6.18% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.06% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 1.89% ( 0)Other @ 0.28% Total : 13.41% | 0-1 @ 2.48% ( 0) 1-2 @ 1.52% ( 0)Other @ 1.39% Total : 5.38% |
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