Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosario Central win with a probability of 40.71%. A win for Newell's Old Boys had a probability of 31.32% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rosario Central win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (7.73%). The likeliest Newell's Old Boys win was 0-1 (10.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Rosario Central in this match.
Result | ||
Rosario Central | Draw | Newell's Old Boys |
40.71% ( -0.5) | 27.96% ( 0.21) | 31.32% ( 0.28) |
Both teams to score 47.13% ( -0.51) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.28% ( -0.68) | 58.72% ( 0.69) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.74% ( -0.54) | 79.26% ( 0.54) |
Rosario Central Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.7% ( -0.6) | 28.3% ( 0.6) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.98% ( -0.77) | 64.02% ( 0.77) |
Newell's Old Boys Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.73% ( -0.16) | 34.27% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.03% ( -0.17) | 70.97% ( 0.17) |
Score Analysis |
Rosario Central | Draw | Newell's Old Boys |
1-0 @ 12.24% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 8.28% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 7.73% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 3.48% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 3.25% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 1.86% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 1.1% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.03% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.74% Total : 40.71% | 1-1 @ 13.11% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 9.7% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 4.43% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.73% Total : 27.96% | 0-1 @ 10.38% ( 0.22) 1-2 @ 7.02% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.56% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 2.51% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.29% Total : 31.32% |
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