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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 7
Sep 30, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Dr. Lisandro de la Torre

Rosario
1 - 0
Newell's OB

Malcorra (86')
Lovera (30'), Toledo (37'), Ortiz (45+5'), Mallo (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Schor (31'), Ferreira (40'), Vangioni (45+5'), Schor (74'), Velazquez (82'), Eduardo Recalde (85')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Rosario Central and Newell's Old Boys.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gimnasia 2-1 Rosario
Saturday, September 23 at 8pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Newell's OB 0-1 Estudiantes
Sunday, September 24 at 9.45pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosario Central win with a probability of 40.71%. A win for Newell's Old Boys had a probability of 31.32% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rosario Central win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (7.73%). The likeliest Newell's Old Boys win was 0-1 (10.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Rosario Central in this match.

Result
Rosario CentralDrawNewell's Old Boys
40.71% (-0.497 -0.5) 27.96% (0.214 0.21) 31.32% (0.283 0.28)
Both teams to score 47.13% (-0.506 -0.51)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.28% (-0.685 -0.68)58.72% (0.687 0.69)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.74% (-0.535 -0.54)79.26% (0.53700000000001 0.54)
Rosario Central Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.7% (-0.59999999999999 -0.6)28.3% (0.601 0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.98% (-0.767 -0.77)64.02% (0.767 0.77)
Newell's Old Boys Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.73% (-0.155 -0.16)34.27% (0.156 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.03% (-0.166 -0.17)70.97% (0.167 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Rosario Central 40.71%
    Newell's Old Boys 31.32%
    Draw 27.96%
Rosario CentralDrawNewell's Old Boys
1-0 @ 12.24% (0.11 0.11)
2-1 @ 8.28% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-0 @ 7.73% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-1 @ 3.48% (-0.102 -0.1)
3-0 @ 3.25% (-0.081 -0.08)
3-2 @ 1.86% (-0.063 -0.06)
4-1 @ 1.1% (-0.051 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.03% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 40.71%
1-1 @ 13.11% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 9.7% (0.25 0.25)
2-2 @ 4.43% (-0.072 -0.07)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 27.96%
0-1 @ 10.38% (0.22 0.22)
1-2 @ 7.02% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 5.56% (0.097 0.1)
1-3 @ 2.51% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.99% (0.026 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.58% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 31.32%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Gimnasia 2-1 Rosario
Saturday, September 23 at 8pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Rosario 1-1 Independiente
Wednesday, September 20 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Colon 2-1 Rosario
Saturday, September 16 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Rosario 2-0 Talleres
Sunday, September 3 at 8.15pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Banfield 3-0 Rosario
Tuesday, August 29 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Rosario 0-0 Tucuman
Sunday, August 20 at 8.15pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Newell's OB 0-1 Estudiantes
Sunday, September 24 at 9.45pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Racing 2-1 Newell's OB
Thursday, September 21 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Newell's OB 1-1 Union
Saturday, September 16 at 7pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Belgrano 1-1 Newell's OB
Saturday, September 2 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Newell's OB 1-0 Lanus
Saturday, August 26 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Newell's OB 2-0 C. Cordoba
Tuesday, August 22 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division


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