SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newell's Old Boys win with a probability of 40.85%. A draw had a probability of 30.5% and a win for Estudiantes had a probability of 28.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newell's Old Boys win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.43%) and 2-1 (7.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.41%), while for a Estudiantes win it was 0-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Newell's Old Boys | Draw | Estudiantes |
40.85% ( 0.16) | 30.48% ( 0.04) | 28.67% ( -0.19) |
| Both teams to score 39.66% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 32.57% ( -0.15) | 67.43% ( 0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.45% ( -0.1) | 85.55% ( 0.1) |
| Newell's Old Boys Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.41% ( 0.01) | 32.59% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.87% ( 0.02) | 69.13% ( -0.02) |
| Estudiantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.83% ( -0.25) | 41.16% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.3% ( -0.22) | 77.7% ( 0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newell's Old Boys | Draw | Estudiantes |
| 1-0 @ 15.04% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 8.43% ( 0.05)2-1 @ 7.48% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.15% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 2.8% 3-2 @ 1.24% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.7% Total : 40.85% | 0-0 @ 13.41% ( 0.08) 1-1 @ 13.35% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 3.32% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.39% Total : 30.47% | 0-1 @ 11.9% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.93% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 5.28% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.26% Total : 28.66% |
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