SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 47.29%. A draw had a probability of 29.6% and a win for Platense had a probability of 23.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.26%) and 2-1 (7.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.32%), while for a Platense win it was 0-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| San Lorenzo | Draw | Platense |
47.29% ( -0.34) | 29.56% ( 0.06) | 23.15% ( 0.28) |
| Both teams to score 38.31% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 32.75% ( 0) | 67.25% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.57% ( 0) | 85.43% ( -0.01) |
| San Lorenzo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.1% ( -0.18) | 28.9% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.23% ( -0.22) | 64.77% ( 0.22) |
| Platense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.88% ( 0.29) | 46.11% ( -0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.19% ( 0.23) | 81.81% ( -0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| San Lorenzo | Draw | Platense |
| 1-0 @ 16.54% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 10.26% ( -0.11)2-1 @ 7.95% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.25% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 3.29% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.32% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.27% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.02% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.38% Total : 47.28% | 0-0 @ 13.32% 1-1 @ 12.8% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 3.08% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.35% Total : 29.55% | 0-1 @ 10.31% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 4.96% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 3.99% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.58% Total : 23.15% |
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