SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Racing Club | 14 | 15 | 30 |
| 2 | Estudiantes | 13 | 15 | 28 |
| 3 | River Plate | 13 | 18 | 26 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Newell's Old Boys | 12 | 3 | 20 |
| 9 | Tigre | 12 | 7 | 19 |
| 10 | Argentinos Juniors | 12 | 3 | 19 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing Club win with a probability of 58.22%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Tigre had a probability of 18.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing Club win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.52%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.2%), while for a Tigre win it was 0-1 (6.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Racing Club | Draw | Tigre |
58.22% ( -0.46) | 23.76% ( 0.21) | 18.02% ( 0.25) |
| Both teams to score 46.19% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.6% ( -0.43) | 53.4% ( 0.43) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.06% ( -0.37) | 74.93% ( 0.36) |
| Racing Club Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.87% ( -0.33) | 18.12% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.92% ( -0.56) | 49.07% ( 0.56) |
| Tigre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.41% ( 0.05) | 43.58% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.22% ( 0.04) | 79.78% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Racing Club | Draw | Tigre |
| 1-0 @ 13.49% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 11.52% ( -0.05)2-1 @ 9.57% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 6.56% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 5.45% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 2.8% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 2.33% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 2.26% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 0.96% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.32% Total : 58.21% | 1-1 @ 11.2% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 7.9% ( 0.13)2-2 @ 3.97% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.69% Total : 23.76% | 0-1 @ 6.56% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 4.65% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 2.72% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 1.7% Total : 18.02% |
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