Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Tucuman win with a probability of 36.2%. A win for Argentinos Juniors had a probability of 36.1% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Tucuman win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.83%) and 2-0 (6.55%). The likeliest Argentinos Juniors win was 0-1 (10.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
