Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 61.43%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Argentinos Juniors had a probability of 16.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.33%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.4%), while for an Argentinos Juniors win it was 0-1 (5.51%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.
