Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing Club win with a probability of 39.65%. A win for Patronato had a probability of 32.41% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing Club win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.18%) and 0-2 (7.45%). The likeliest Patronato win was 1-0 (10.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Racing Club would win this match.
