Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
5 | Defensa y Justicia | 12 | 7 | 22 |
6 | Gimnasia | 13 | 2 | 21 |
7 | Aldosivi | 12 | 4 | 20 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Racing Club | 14 | 15 | 30 |
2 | Estudiantes | 13 | 15 | 28 |
3 | River Plate | 13 | 18 | 26 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gimnasia win with a probability of 41.67%. A win for Racing Club had a probability of 31.49% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gimnasia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Racing Club win was 0-1 (9.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gimnasia would win this match.
Result | ||
Gimnasia | Draw | Racing Club |
41.67% ( 0.14) | 26.85% ( -0.22) | 31.49% ( 0.09) |
Both teams to score 50.49% ( 0.71) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.5% ( 0.89) | 54.5% ( -0.89) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.15% ( 0.74) | 75.86% ( -0.73) |
Gimnasia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.2% ( 0.48) | 25.81% ( -0.48) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.24% ( 0.65) | 60.77% ( -0.64) |
Racing Club Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.05% ( 0.52) | 31.96% ( -0.51) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.59% ( 0.59) | 68.41% ( -0.58) |
Score Analysis |
Gimnasia | Draw | Racing Club |
1-0 @ 11.17% ( -0.23) 2-1 @ 8.63% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 7.57% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 3.9% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 3.42% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.22% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 1.32% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 1.16% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.29% Total : 41.67% | 1-1 @ 12.74% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 8.25% ( -0.29) 2-2 @ 4.92% ( 0.1) Other @ 0.93% Total : 26.84% | 0-1 @ 9.41% ( -0.19) 1-2 @ 7.27% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 5.37% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.76% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 2.04% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.77% Total : 31.49% |
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