SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing Club win with a probability of 47.32%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Gimnasia had a probability of 24.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing Club win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.81%) and 1-2 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.83%), while for a Gimnasia win it was 1-0 (9.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gimnasia | Draw | Racing Club |
24.46% ( 0.05) | 28.22% ( 0.01) | 47.32% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 42.49% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.42% ( -0.01) | 62.58% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.84% ( -0.01) | 82.16% ( 0) |
| Gimnasia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.91% ( 0.04) | 42.09% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.49% ( 0.04) | 78.51% ( -0.04) |
| Racing Club Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.37% ( -0.03) | 26.63% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.13% ( -0.04) | 61.87% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gimnasia | Draw | Racing Club |
| 1-0 @ 9.7% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 5.55% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 4.2% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 1.6% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.21% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.06% ( 0)Other @ 1.14% Total : 24.46% | 1-1 @ 12.83% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 11.2% 2-2 @ 3.67% ( 0)Other @ 0.5% Total : 28.21% | 0-1 @ 14.82% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 9.81% ( -0.02)1-2 @ 8.49% ( -0)0-3 @ 4.33% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.74% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.62% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.43% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.24% ( -0)Other @ 1.83% Total : 47.31% |
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