SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gimnasia win with a probability of 44.35%. A draw had a probability of 29.3% and a win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 26.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gimnasia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.21%) and 2-1 (8.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.11%), while for a San Lorenzo win it was 0-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gimnasia | Draw | San Lorenzo |
44.35% ( 0.04) | 29.3% ( -0.03) | 26.34% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 41.24% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.12% ( 0.07) | 64.88% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.19% ( 0.05) | 83.8% ( -0.05) |
| Gimnasia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.71% ( 0.05) | 29.28% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.75% ( 0.07) | 65.25% ( -0.07) |
| San Lorenzo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.31% ( 0.02) | 41.68% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.84% ( 0.02) | 78.16% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gimnasia | Draw | San Lorenzo |
| 1-0 @ 14.99% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.21% ( 0)2-1 @ 8.06% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.77% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.3% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.44% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.16% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.01% ( 0)Other @ 1.42% Total : 44.35% | 1-1 @ 13.11% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 12.2% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 3.53% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.45% Total : 29.29% | 0-1 @ 10.68% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.74% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.67% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.67% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.36% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.03% ( 0)Other @ 1.19% Total : 26.34% |
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