SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 42.83%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Racing Club had a probability of 28.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.64%) and 2-1 (8.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.2%), while for a Racing Club win it was 0-1 (10.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| San Lorenzo | Draw | Racing Club |
42.83% ( -0.18) | 28.96% ( 0.03) | 28.21% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 43.13% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.93% ( -0.06) | 63.07% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.48% ( -0.04) | 82.52% ( 0.04) |
| San Lorenzo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.77% ( -0.13) | 29.23% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.82% ( -0.16) | 65.18% ( 0.16) |
| Racing Club Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.94% ( 0.09) | 39.05% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.22% ( 0.08) | 75.77% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| San Lorenzo | Draw | Racing Club |
| 1-0 @ 14.04% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.64% ( -0.04)2-1 @ 8.12% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.54% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 3.33% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.57% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.09% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.02% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.48% Total : 42.83% | 1-1 @ 13.2% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 11.41% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 3.82% Other @ 0.53% Total : 28.95% | 0-1 @ 10.73% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 6.21% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 5.05% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 1.95% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.2% ( 0)Other @ 1.5% Total : 28.21% |
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