SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 24 | Atletico Tucuman | 12 | -9 | 10 |
| 25 | Platense | 13 | -10 | 10 |
| 26 | Patronato | 12 | -13 | 10 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Sarmiento | 12 | -7 | 18 |
| 14 | Union | 13 | -1 | 17 |
| 15 | Colon | 13 | 0 | 16 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Platense win with a probability of 45.36%. A draw had a probability of 28.6% and a win for Union had a probability of 26.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Platense win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.29%) and 2-1 (8.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.01%), while for a Union win it was 0-1 (10.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Platense in this match.
| Result | ||
| Platense | Draw | Union |
45.36% ( -0.03) | 28.56% ( -0.01) | 26.08% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 42.86% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.25% ( 0.03) | 62.75% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.71% ( 0.02) | 82.29% ( -0.02) |
| Platense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.29% ( -0) | 27.71% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.72% ( -0) | 63.27% ( -0) |
| Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.3% ( 0.04) | 40.7% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.71% ( 0.04) | 77.29% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Platense | Draw | Union |
| 1-0 @ 14.47% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 9.29% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 8.35% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.97% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.57% 3-2 @ 1.61% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.28% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.15% Other @ 1.68% Total : 45.36% | 1-1 @ 13.01% 0-0 @ 11.28% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 3.75% ( 0)Other @ 0.52% Total : 28.56% | 0-1 @ 10.13% 1-2 @ 5.85% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.56% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.75% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.37% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.12% ( 0)Other @ 1.29% Total : 26.07% |
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