SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Sarmiento | 12 | -7 | 18 |
| 14 | Union | 13 | -1 | 17 |
| 15 | Colon | 13 | 0 | 16 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Gimnasia | 13 | 2 | 21 |
| 7 | Aldosivi | 12 | 4 | 20 |
| 8 | Newell's Old Boys | 12 | 3 | 20 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union win with a probability of 56.99%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Aldosivi had a probability of 18.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.81%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.52%), while for an Aldosivi win it was 0-1 (7.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Union | Draw | Aldosivi |
56.99% ( 0.01) | 24.85% ( -0) | 18.16% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 43.5% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.87% ( 0.01) | 57.13% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22% ( 0.01) | 78% ( -0) |
| Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.99% ( 0.01) | 20.01% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.8% ( 0.01) | 52.2% ( -0.01) |
| Aldosivi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.39% ( 0) | 45.62% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.58% ( 0) | 81.42% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Union | Draw | Aldosivi |
| 1-0 @ 14.68% 2-0 @ 11.81% 2-1 @ 9.27% ( 0)3-0 @ 6.34% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.97% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.55% ( 0)4-1 @ 2% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.95% Other @ 3.41% Total : 56.98% | 1-1 @ 11.52% 0-0 @ 9.13% ( -0)2-2 @ 3.64% ( 0)Other @ 0.55% Total : 24.84% | 0-1 @ 7.16% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.52% 0-2 @ 2.81% 1-3 @ 1.18% 2-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.53% Total : 18.16% |
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